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Indian IT Giants Face Major Market Selloff Amid US Visa Fee Hike Impact


Indian IT Giants Face Major Market Selloff Amid Visa Fee Hike Concerns


The Indian IT sector faced a significant market setback on Monday morning as the announcement of a US visa fee hike sent shockwaves through investor sentiment. The Nifty IT index plummeted more than 3% in early trading, resulting in a staggering loss of nearly ₹63,000 crore in market capitalization among the top 10 IT firms. Leading the charge downward was Tech Mahindra, which dropped 6%, followed by TCS with a fall exceeding 2%, Infosys down 2%, and Wipro declining close to 3%.


This timing presents a critical challenge for the Indian IT industry, given its heavy reliance on the US market. Approximately 55% of the sector's revenue stems from the United States, with mid-cap firms even more exposed—between 75 to 80%. The visa fee hike directly impacts the cost structures of these companies, particularly concerning the H-1B visa, a crucial work permit for Indian IT professionals employed in the US.


For Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), the largest IT firm in the sector, the implications are especially concerning. In the fiscal year 2023, around 7,000 H-1B visa approvals were granted for TCS employees. The increased visa fee could lead to a reduction in the company’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) by an estimated 7-8% upon renewal of these visas. This could force firms to reassess their IT outsourcing models, possibly influencing hiring strategies and cost planning.


The ripple effects of the visa fee hike bring to light the vulnerabilities of Indian IT companies to policy changes in global markets, especially the US. Investors seem to be recalibrating their expectations for near-term profitability amid rising operational expenses. This market selloff signals caution and highlights the need for strategic resilience within the industry in navigating such external shocks.


This development marks a critical juncture for India's IT giants as they balance growth ambitions with evolving international regulatory environments. The coming months will be telling in how these firms adapt their business models to mitigate the impact of such regulatory cost increases while sustaining their global market presence.


Citations:


Times of India - Trump's H-1B visa fee hikes hits IT stocks: TCS, Wipro & Infosys shares tumble
Hindustan Times - How TCS, Infosys-led IT stocks are likely to react to H-1B visa changes
Economic Times - $100000 H-1B visa fee shock: How it could hit Indian IT giants
Times of India - US H-1B visa fee hike: Indian IT firms facing $150-550 million in immigration bill

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